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Greenfield Consortium
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Long-Term Capital and Short-Term Politics
04.2026 · Macro Commentary

Long-Term Capital and Short-Term Politics

长期资本与短期政治

Allocating through electoral cycles without participating in them — a discipline manual for multi-generational capital.

Greenfield Research Institute · Greenfield Capital Group

Allocating through electoral cycles without participating in them — a discipline manual for multi-generational capital.

Allocating through electoral cycles without participating in them — a discipline manual for multi-generational capital.

We review four decades of policy cycles across twelve major economies and find that most "long-term themes" sustain policy stability for only six to eight years.

The commentary proposes a "politics-desensitized" allocation discipline driven by three surfaces: regulation, energy prices and capital controls.

The conclusion: silence amid political noise is itself a form of long-term alpha.